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Case 03 · Benchmark saturation

The RAID leaderboard’s 99% club fit on the public labels.

Why the top 10 detectors all hit 99% — and why that number is meaningless.

The failure · on the record

RAID-train’s labels are public. Ten commercial detectors submitted results at 99%+ accuracy across every attack. MELD is submitted as “anon-review-meld-2026” — a research submission tuned to the benchmark. DeBERTa-ConPara has four versioned iterations. OpenAI dropped SWE-bench Verified in 2025 because “the score stopped meaning anything” after contamination. RAID is the same story now.

The numbers
Detector% of RAID slices scored 1.000Fit on public labels?
Zhuque (Tencent)76.3%very likely
Trinka73.7%very likely
MELD (anon research)73.0%yes (name is anon-review-meld-2026)
Grammarly69.7%very likely
Binoculars (academic 2024)11.5%no (predates leaderboard)
Truth-in-AI0.0%no — reference corpus is dmitva only
What we do differently

Our manifest is public. The signed RAID.signed.json binds our reference corpus to dmitva (a separate English AI-vs-human dataset) via SHA-256 hash. Zero RAID-extra rows appear anywhere in our reference source.

Any auditor can verify this without our permission by rehashing the datasets.

Proof
Reference-corpus SHA-256 published in manifest. Inspect the manifest →
Try it yourself
Score any text NOT from RAID.
curl -X POST https://api.trigeochiral.com/detect \
  -H 'Authorization: Bearer $TRIALKEY' \
  -d '{"text": "Any AI or human text"}'
Bounty · put money where the claim is
$10,000
Prove any top-10 RAID leaderboard detector did NOT fit on RAID-train. Submit training-data proof to trigeochiral@gmail.com.
Sources